Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.097383 0.152256 0.217293 0.297374 0.391045 0.495250 0.618199
2025-12-14 0.026781 0.081547 0.164950 0.284228 0.438728 0.623502 0.853872
2025-12-21 0.010129 0.062243 0.159079 0.310386 0.516619 0.771369 1.096302
2025-12-28 0.002617 0.049022 0.156231 0.336952 0.593112 0.917009 1.336714
2026-01-04 0.000025 0.035916 0.147443 0.350861 0.650016 1.036252 1.543624
2026-01-11 NaN 0.031824 0.153806 0.386899 0.736672 1.193246 1.797248
2026-01-18 NaN 0.026370 0.154804 0.413203 0.809180 1.331857 2.028180
2026-01-25 NaN 0.017579 0.143220 0.416473 0.847722 1.425619 2.202744
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006827 0.115396 0.386804 0.835560 1.450764 2.289495
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000880 0.086597 0.348435 0.806280 1.450251 2.341434
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.072964 0.336277 0.814982 1.499720 2.456407
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.068570 0.342856 0.852773 1.588971 2.622899
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.059436 0.338137 0.874113 1.658565 2.768539
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.046926 0.321848 0.875417 1.700050 2.878005
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.051232 0.350373 0.952296 1.848733 3.129083
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.055361 0.378524 1.028748 1.997099 3.380146
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054773 0.393363 1.082510 2.113228 3.588695
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.062389 0.431616 1.176587 2.287190 3.874284
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.066331 0.459487 1.252982 2.436060 4.126824
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.061780 0.462948 1.287479 2.525118 4.300146
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.046564 0.431518 1.260213 2.524767 4.354012
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.030994 0.390775 1.213311 2.494043 4.365779
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.024477 0.377839 1.214900 2.533044 4.470319